I'm not sure I buy this argument from Yves Smith:

Treasury has asked for open-ended authority to resolve large financial institutions, which is pretty much a blank check. That’s a breathtaking power grab by the Executive and should not be acceptable in a democracy. It wasn’t surprising that post the TARP that Congress would be completely unwilling to go there. Any decision to wind up a large bank is going to require Congressional authorization; the amounts at stake are too large for this not to be a political decision.
Leaving aside that Treasury is not, in fact, asking for open-ended authority to resolve large, complex financial institutions (LCFIs), I disagree that resolving a LCFI should necessarily be a political decision. I've seen variants of this argument elsewhere, and when I first read Yves' post, I didn't think twice about her argument, because it kind of sounds like it should be correct. But the more I thought about it, the less I agreed with it. Yes, the amounts at stake are large, but why does democratic legitimacy require Congressional authorization at the very last minute (and on a case-by-case basis)? What would be undemocratic about enacting — through the proper democratic channels (i.e., a bill passed by Congress and signed by the President) — a framework for resolving LCFIs ahead-of-time, which delegates the decision on whether/when/how to resolve a LCFI to federal agencies? I think we can all agree that Congress, as an institution, isn't exactly set up to make the quick, consequential, and technocratic decisions that a successful resolution of a LCFI requires. Exhibit A: the TARP vote fiasco. The extreme uncertainty caused by that situation was bad for everybody, regardless of what side you were on in the TARP debate. Personally, I'd rather not relive that nightmare. There's nothing wrong with Congress acknowledging its own limitations, and making a conscious decision to delegate the authority to resolve LCFIs to better-equipped federal agencies. That's what we've done with the FDIC's resolution authority, for example, and the numbers can get astronomical there too. JPMorgan's commercial bank, which would be resolved by the FDIC, has over $1.6 trillion in assets. BofA's commercial bank has over $1.4 trillion in assets. But I don't see anyone demanding that the FDIC give up any of its resolution authority. (My guess is that that's because most of the critics of Treasury's proposal are big fans of the FDIC's anti-Wall Street rhetoric, and trust that the FDIC will make the "right" decisions. That's not directed at Yves; it's just my general sense.) In Treasury's proposal (pdf), the decision on whether/when to resolve a LCFI would be made by the Treasury Secretary, in consultation with the President, and only after receiving a formal recommendation from the Fed's Board of Governors and the FDIC (or in rare situations, the SEC). It's important to note that all the agency officials who would be involved in this decision — the Treasury Secretary, 7 Fed Governors, 5 FDIC Board members, and 5 SEC Commissioners — are confirmed by the Senate. I'm on record saying that this "systemic risk" determination should be made when an institution is initially deemed a Tier 1 financial holding company, rather than frantically at the last minute, when the officials' main concern is getting the announcement out before Asian markets open. (Because everyone knows that if the announcement isn't made before 8 p.m. on Sunday, it doesn't count. Just ask Hank Paulson.) For our purposes though, it doesn't really matter when the decision is made by federal agency officials; my point is simply that there's nothing about the decision to resolve LCFIs that requires the direct involvement of Congress.

4 comments:

Duff Smoa said...

I don't agree with you that the FDIC would wind down JPM, Citi, BAC, etc... They are too large for the FDIC. It's one thing to wind down a bank like IndyMac with a deposit base and bad loan book, another to wind down one of the above banks due to the size of their oeprations outside retail banking.

I think Yves' main point is that only congress has access to enough money to be able to backstop LCFIs. If the FDIC needed to wind one down they would need to goto congress for money so why not simplify the process and ask congress directly.

Anonymous said...

(My guess is that that's because most of the critics of Treasury's proposal are big fans of the FDIC's anti-Wall Street rhetoric, and trust that the FDIC will make the "right" decisions. That's not directed at Yves; it's just my general sense.) - EoC

Bair, a red-state neocon who has never seen a derivative she did not adore, has somehow become the darlin' of the political left. How? By fighting with Obama and Geithner, and by saying no financial institution is TBTF (except she now acknowledges the bailout she had no clue was necessary was indeed necessary, but the mob still loves her).

This whole thing is all about making certain that the TARP that saved the country from economic death is never done again. It's sort like pre-killing the lifeguard so the drowning victim will drown.

hhoran said...

Yes, the resolution authority not only should be delegated to an agency, but absolutely must be. But that's just the starting point. Remember that the only truly successful resolution of a politically messy "too big" company--where (unlike Chrysler) the reorganization really addressed most underlying problems and the new company prospered for decades, was the Penn Central-at the time the biggest corporate bankruptcy in world history. USRA, the agency set up to deal with this, was carefully designed to block political interference, and was given the the mission and staff resources to carry out major industry wide reforms. No existing agency could do this with the "too big/too integrated" financial firms, especially given the level of political power those firms can bring to bear. But setting up such a resolution authority is clearly a political decision.

Doc Merlin said...

I don't see how it could not be a political decision. Ultimately everything in government becomes a political decision unless the state is specifically forbidden from interfering in it.

I don't think it should be a political decision, but I think it very often will be.