I read an inhuman number of books (partly due to the amount of time I spend on planes and in airports), and one of the things I like to do is to informally keep track of the most (and least) timely and/or prescient books I come across. For the dot-com bubble, for example, one of the most timely/prescient books was Bob Shiller's Irrational Exuberance (published in March 2000), and the least timely/prescient book was, obviously, Kevin Hassett and James Glassman's Dow 36,000: The New Strategy for Profiting from the Coming Rise in the Stock Market (published in October 1999). For the current financial crisis, here are the most timely and/or prescient books I've come across so far:

Too Big to Fail: The Hazards of Bank Bailouts, by Gary Stern and Ron Feldman (March 2004)
House Prices and the Macroeconomy: Implications for Banking and Price Stability, by Charles Goodhart and Boris Hofmann (March 2007)
Systemic Financial Crises: Resolving Large Bank Insolvencies, edited by Douglas Evanoff & George Kaufman (June 2005)
Fragile Finance: Debt, Speculation and Crisis in the Age of Global Credit, by Anastasia Nesvetailova (December 2007)
And here are the least timely and/or prescient books I've come across:
Why the Real Estate Boom Will Not Bust—And How You Can Profit from It, by David Lereah (February 2006)
The Complete Guide to Flipping Properties, 2nd Edition, by Steve Berges (January 2008)
This one is a little too early, but the title is just too good to leave off the list: Real Estate Riches: How to Become Rich Using Your Banker's Money, by Dolf de Roos (October 2001)
The David Lereah book in particular is pure comedic gold. I'm sure there are lots more books in the "least timely and/or prescient" category, but I generally don't browse the Personal Finance/Self-Help books (which is where the really crazy books are usually located), so I haven't come across them. I'm more interested in books that are incredibly timely and/or prescient anyway, because there will always be yahoos writing ridiculous get-rich-quick books, but it's much harder to accurately anticipate events.


Michael Panzner said...

Have you ever read Financial Armageddon? See: http://www.financialarmageddon.com/2009/02/a-breakingviews-the-doomsayer-who-got-it-right-byedward-chancellor-----the-least-useful-investment-books-are-those-which.html

Economics of Contempt said...

I haven't actually. It's one of those books that I've never gotten around to reading because I've read so much about the book that I feel like I've read it already. (If that makes any sense.)

Now that you've reminded me, I do actually own a copy, and I see that it's just under 200 pages, so I'll knock it out on my flight this afternoon.

Just out of curiosity, when did you finish writing the book? The copyright on my copy says 2007, but I assume there was some sort of lag in the publication process. It's more interesting if you know when, specifically, the author was making his forecasts.

Michael Panzner said...

Sorry about the delayed reply (I usually visit your site using Bloglines reader, so I missed your response). I handed in the revised manuscript in October 2006, and started writing it in the spring of 2006.

Cheap Guild Wars 2 Gold said...

Once again excellent submit. You seem to have a good understanding of these kind of themes.After i coming into your website,My spouse and i thought this specific . Come on whilst blogging your blog will be more appealing. For a Accomplishment!
Buy D3 Items
Billig Guild wars 2 CD KEY

jhoney said...

To love beauty is to see light.

jhoney said...

To love beauty is to see light.

Anonymous said...

I have been waiting for someone to share this post. This has actually made me think and I hope to read more.www.mentomori.co.uk |

www.agilitty.co.uk |

www.lettrader.co.uk |

www.dtas-diamonds.co.uk |

www.bodwennursery.co.uk |

www.runhamsweddingcars.co.uk |

www.im16.co.uk |

www.ralphandrusso.co.uk |

www.alaniles.co.uk |

www.acenet2000.co.uk |

Trần Duy Thuận said...

Trần Duy Thuận Blog đang cần nhận gia công tại nhà. Ai có cần người nhận gia công tại nhà tphcm liên hệ mình nhé. Truy cập vào đặt vé máy bay giá rẻ vietjet để có thêm kinh nghiệm khi đi máy bay nhé.

jaring pengaman said...

Nice article, thanks for the information. It's very complete information. I will bookmark for next reference
jaring futsal | jaring golf | jaring pengaman proyek |
jaring pengaman bangunan | jaring pengaman gedung

Unknown said...

obat kutil kelamin yang manjur dan murah
obat herbal khsusus untuk kutil kelamin
obat kutil kelamin tradisional
Obat kanker rahim tradisional
Obat tradisional sipilis paling manjur
cara alami mengobati kencing nanah
Obat Generik Kencing Nanah Di Apotik
Obat yang manjur untuk kencing nanah
Obat herbal yang manjur untuk kanker serviks yang sudah akut
Obat kutil kelamin tradisional yang paling manjur
Obat tradisional untuk kanker serviks yang sudah parah
Obat penyakit kelamin kencing nanah
obat kutil kelamin herbal
Obat herbal yang manjur untuk mengobati kutil kelamin
obat kutil kelamin untuk laki2
obat yang ampuh menghilangkan kutil
Obat Alternatif Kanker Serviks Stadium 1,2,3,4
Tips mengobati kutil kelamin

Unknown said...

Thanks for sharing with us.
Escorts in Delhi
Escorts in delhi

Unknown said...

Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata Pada Bibir Memek
Obat Penyakit kutil Kelamin Wanita
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata Pada Ibu Hamil
Cara Menghilangkan kutil Di Kelamin Pria
Di Sekitar Penis Tumbuh Kutil ? Obatnya Apa ?
Berbahayakah Kutil Kelamin
Penyebab Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata
Obat Kutil di Batang Zakar
Obat Kutil Di Kemaluan Wanita | Penyakit Kelamin Wanita
Obat Penghilang Kutil Kelamin
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata Di Bibir Vagina
obat jengger ayam untuk wanita
Kutil Di Alat Kelamin Serta Cara Menghilangkanya
Obat Penyakit kutil Kelamin Wanita
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata Pada Ibu Hamil
Cara Menghilangkan kutil Di Kelamin Pria

Unknown said...

Berbahayakah Kutil Kelamin
Penyebab Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata
Obat Kutil di Batang Zakar
Obat Kutil Di Kemaluan Wanita | Penyakit Kelamin Wanita
Obat Penghilang Kutil Kelamin
Tanda-Tanda Kutil Kelamin Condyloma Acuminata Di Bibir Vagina
obat jengger ayam untuk wanita
Kutil Di Alat Kelamin Serta Cara Menghilangkanya
obat kutil kelamin tradisional
Obat Kutil Pada Memek | Cara Menyembuhkan Kutil Pada Kemaluan Wanita
Penyembuhan Kutil Di Bibir Vagina | Penyakit Kelamin Kutil

sheenasharma said...

That was an pretty awesome post and i like that.
Escorts in Gurgaon
Escorts in Gurgaon
Call Girls in Gurgaon MG Road
Escorts in Gurgaon
Escorts in Dwarka

Esteban said...

Location de voiliers en mer méditerranée.

Plus de 1300 bateaux en location sur notre base de donnée.
Location bateau, location voilier, cliquez sur le pays de votre choix

Esteban said...

I-Spy.it è il leader mondiale nel campo delle soluzioni di spia cellulare, in grado di soddisfare ogni esigenza del cliente per questioni di sicurezza e di praticità.

Esteban said...

GPS, mouchards, applis logiciel espion l'espionnage dans le couple pour le géolocaliser ou le mettre sur écoute.

Esteban said...

Si vous cherchez un service d’escorte sociale avec les accompagnatrices les plus raffinées de Paris, est la meilleure adresse. Nous avons fais en sorte qu’il soit très facile de réserver votre escorte préférée pour vous accompagner à n’importe quel événement social. Il n’a jamais été aussi facile de réserver une escort-girl. Vous pouvez contacter directement l’accompagnatrice que vous avez choisie grâce à son annonce, soit en l’appelant sur son numéro de téléphone affiché sur son profil ou en lui envoyant un e-mail.

Esteban said...

tchatche gratuit avec webcam
Manochat est un tchatche gratuit avec webcam ou un site de rencontre pour ado. Vous pouvez tchatcher et discuter avec vos amis ou tchatter avec des inconnus sur un tchatche de type messenger. Le tchatche est sans inscription, un simple formulaire à remplir (ci-dessous) et ensuite vous pouvez commencer à tchatcher.

Allen jeley said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Bandar Poker Terpercaya said...

The article on this site is very interesting, thank you
Selamat datang di LENOVOPOKER™ Top 1 Judi Online
Promo Terbaru LENOVOPOKER :
- Bonus New Member Depo +20%
- Bonus All Member Next Depo +5%
- Bonus All Member Refferal 30%
- Bonus All Member Rollingan 0.5%
Contact : BBM : LENOVO88
WA : +6281375260652
Agen Domino 99
Bandar Poker
Agen Ceme
Bandar Ceme
Judi Poker Terpercaya

Anonymous said...

The better part of our Nagpur Call Girls is that it's got the components that can assist you Recuperate from the further problems like depression together with other types of sensuality as well. Choose to use quality excellent Nagpur Call Girls? Then you definitely in the ideal put. Welcome to our mind-blowing high-quality Nagpur Escorts company. We've been among the list of oldest Escort Service in Nagpur. Our Entire Nagpur Call Girls have terrific encounters in this market. They work with us for around three-four a long time to make some extra money inside their free time and knowledgeable distinct tastes of man every day.

Ankita Sharma said...

Come to Ludhiana to determine experiences your wishes occur genuinely. Ludhiana Escorts has the vastest range at very fair rates of escort’s lot obtainable for you. We offer escorts who will be college or university escorts, finding out and energetic Stuffed with daily life. There are plenty of motels and bars in this article where you can delight in your life properly. These lodges continue to keep full of naughty and bold Ludhiana Escorts total night. Generally, hotels in this space are connected with us mainly because we've been ruling more than the personal earth with the huge assemblage of Ludhiana Escorts. These escort girls are educated and nicely dressed so their determination can catch the attention of anyone. You will get every single delight in their figure variety sexual enjoyment to mental Pleasure.

Delhi Escorts said...

To hire girls in Jaipur, you can call WhatsApp number given on our website. You can enjoy all kinds of expected dating with Jaipur escorts.escort in jaipur

Escort Service said...

Are you looking for call girls, then we have a stock of escort agency, we have one to one female hot girls to provide 24/7 service to you and can be enjoyed by contacting our website.Cheap Call Girls In Neemrana

Delhi Escorts said...

If you're searching for amazing fun for your mature desire, don't hesitate to contact us. Hello Visitor, we're thankful that you stop by our site. We provide Independent Escort in Delhi companionship for the beautiful and welcoming women you can ever experience. We're proficient in supplying independent escorts proficient in gratifying men by kissing, massaging, and massaging their physique. Their figure is amazing, and you're able to enjoy the entire night.
Female Escort In Delhi
Delhi Escorts With Photos
Best Escort in Delhi
Russian Call Girls In Delhi

Payal Singh said...

Avail Unlimited Fun and Enjoy in Himachal Pradesh Escorts Endless Sexual Orgasms From horny girls who will be Seductive and Fierce in the Bedroom and Get Sexual Satisfaction.
Escorts in Himachal Pradesh ||
Escort Service in Himachal Pradesh ||
Himachal PradeshEscort ||
Call Girl in Himachal Pradesh ||
Himachal Pradesh Escort Service

Ankita Sharma said...

I am considered a sexy, witty, smart, and wild Escort Service in Ludhiana who can provide you the experience and feeling that you are looking forward to where you can relax and relish the affectionate and hot intimate love provided by me in Ludhiana Escorts. I am all available to provide you a perfect companionship for any occasion like a party, event, social gathering, or just to have a nice dinner at Ludhiana Escorts.

Payal Singh said...

Nashik is the place where you can connect with the hot girl of your choice. With Russian Nashik call girls, you can fulfill your sensual Desire.

Escorts in Nashik |
Call girls in Nashik |
Escort Service in Nashik |
Nashik Escort Service |
Nashik Escorts |

Ishika Sharma said...

Our Kalkaji Call Girls will be ready in one moment to fan wagon of amative desires. Satisfy all your fantasies today by sucking all her juices gushing from her pussy. We know that Delhi sees millions of tourists who are away from their girlfriends and wives.

Laljpat Nagar escorts service said...

Probably the best Lajpat Nagar Escorts are horny to give you delight. They need you to appreciate the best of sexual joy which knocks your body and socks off. If you are looking for a Model escort girl so visit our site and contact us in kalkaji escorts.

Laljpat Nagar escorts service
Kalkaji escorts service
Ashram escorts service
Paharganj escorts service

Delhi escorts said...

If you are working with Karol Bagh Escorts and need to get the most extraordinary client, then you really need to seek after a few things which will help you with getting the best client. Each and every female Escorts Karol Bagh Delhi needs to get the best client so you genuinely should be exceptional compared to others when you have to pull in the most extraordinary client for you. You should reliably share such an assistance you give show escort in Karol Bagh administration or housewife karol bagh escorts Delhi Service are used by most outrageous clients. So just base on giving more bits of knowledge about such a help you give. School Call young ladies Karol Bagh Delhi is a particularly mentioned Service in Karol Bagh.
karol bagh escorts

mayaescorts said...

Maybe you are also looking for the right person to ensure the higher quality sex and that’s why you are in this place because here we are going to share the data and information of Mahipalpur Escorts. Escorts or female all girls are those call girls who are rocking and amazing in terms of better-quality sexual performance for the customer. Are you looking for professional female call girls for nude relationships? Here is the good news for you because this time the booking of online Female Escorts in Mahipalpur is available for the customers at the online platform. Start making your life quite erotic and quite bold with the right stuff for your sex life because it is important to know about the sexual services for your engagements. There are countless options available for the customers through which they can enjoy the nude and longer fucks and this time you can do this task by choosing the services of Mahipalpur Call Girls.
Mahipalpur Escorts, Mahipalpur Call girls, Escorts in Mahipalpur
Mahipalpur Escorts
Mahipalpur Escorts
Mahipalpur Call girls
Mahipalpur Escorts

Lajpat Nagar Escorts Service said...

Probably the best Females Lajpat Nagar escorts are horny to give you delight. They need you to appreciate the best of sexual joy which knocks your body and socks off. They need you to press their body which gives them the best of suggestive inclination and makes them increasingly horny. Our Call Girl Service in Kalkaji Escorts are attractive and upscale which gives you a genuine sweetheart like organization.

Lajpat Nagar Escorts Service
Kalkaji Escorts Service
Ashram Escorts Service
Paharganj Escorts Service

Damini Sharma said...

There are numerous when an individual needs to perceive the wild side he has and there is an approach to do that is utilizing the young Delhi Escorts. Delhi is where you can get the best escort services. You can get the best young ladies who are excellent inside and out at whatever point you need and they will serve you with their full heart and you will cherish the exhibition. On the off chance that you need to invest some quality relaxation energy, you can become more acquainted with the best Delhi Escorts. On the off chance that you are getting exhausted, at that point you can get the best assortment of Exotic young ladies who resemble a model and warmth existing apart from everything else and satisfy the most out of control wants you want. The young Delhi Escorts which are offered for you are made by the attitude of individuals living here.

Delhi Escorts said...

An online search for Delhi Escorts is a perfect way of making sure that you will receive a popular type of Hot Escorts service. This escort agency has trained all the hot beauties a lot. Making sure that you will receive everything your body is asking for. Please Visit now...
Escort Service in Delhi💋💃💛
Delhi Escorts💋💃💛

Damini Sharma said...

Delhi Escorts Agencies are capable in model escorts determination, it is no uncertainty that Escorts agencies expert in the giving of model escorts young girl, so here to know them you need to visit such site who has the friendship of the appealing Delhi Escorts, so here to know the above highlights in this viewpoint, there are exceptional highlights in case of escorts Service, compassionately see the site and know the appropriate highlights in this perspective, for example, the above highlights are having independent Delhi Escorts Service and meet perhaps the most requested escorts woman in this angle.

Riya Rai said...

Dwarka Escorts is outstanding amongst other class escort expert services. The best way to deal with contact them is through using web-based life stages. Call Girls in Dwarka will just fill your heart with happiness, they are very extraordinary.

Damini Sharma said...

Aerocity Escorts is addressing internet dating Service and to carry on this dating Service we have delegated some independent partner whose interest is more than accompanies Service and here can see the view the escorts Service object in this item perused over the explanation about the dating Service simply get in touch with us and a wide range of Aerocity Escorts Service is accessible to give this joy in this article. Why they give web-based dating Service, the intention of dating Service stay for the special matter and object of dating is given by Aerocity Escorts Agency so that it can develop the traffic of blog and get an important outcome in this perspective see my website page and know the entire data about my blog.

Bed Pari Bangalore Escorts said...

Thanks for sharing this brilliant article it was a very useful and helpful article.

Bangalore Escorts
Bangalore escorts
Bangalore Escorts
Bangalore Escorts
VIP Escorts Bangalore
Call Girls in Bangalore

Damini Sharma said...

In the serious market, our escort agency is the most recent model Saket Escorts agency which has been furnishing an extent of meeting with prominent model escort young girl at the modest rate in light of this you can say it has been assuming an imperative part in this serious market, to book a model Saket Escorts need the data of them so you can know effectively and book at whatever point require this help.

Ankita Tiwari Kolkata Escort Service In Call Girl said...

call girl at
indian call girl phone number

Damini Sharma said...

I'm viewed as an attractive, clever, savvy, and wild call young lady who can furnish you with the experience and feeling that you are anticipating where you can unwind and savour the tender and hot private love given by me in Aerocity Escorts. I'm all accessible to furnish you with an ideal friendship for any event like gathering, occasion, party, or to have a decent supper Aerocity Escorts. So if you have decided to get some provocative zest in your life, basically pass me a call or email so your date or night could run impeccably.

Damini Sharma said...

When it comes to spending time with the best call girls and Aerocity Escorts, there is no doubt about the fact that these women are all you need to vent out the frustration lovingly and affectionately. These girls will not leave any stone unturned to make you feel good in all ways. Whether you choose a petite girl, a mature housewife, a glamorous model, or a college student out on a trip- these women are stunning, and their figure can put even actresses to shame. There are several independent Delhi Escorts. They are available for providing the best possible services in the most sensual of ways.

Damini Sharma said...

Among the numerous adult dating buddy providers in and around the state, Aerocity Escorts like Lavanya has overcome all the diverse range of adventures with 100% confidence and determination. It has been observed that the demand for adult sources has increased remarkably in recent times and made the trade flourish in every corner of the state. The considerable Delhi Escorts services have become significant sources of attraction for the thousands of male tourists and visitors. The tourism industry has almost doubled due to the fast-developing percentage of carnal services providers in different state parts.

Ishika Sharma said...

Delhi Escorts believe only in providing premium escort services. Thus, we only have the foremost gorgeous looking and therefore the well-educated girls in our team to serve our esteemed clientele. All the Delhi Escorts are well-educated, polished and completely humble with a really attractive nature.

Aisha Escorts said...

Aerocity Escorts Girls agency has the best incall escorts service when as Aerocity Escorts agency has been providing this service at the home of the clients.

Damini Sharma said...

Also, to offer the one's men the colossal accomplishment and the stroke by methods for the most forward young women, we give to you the most inventive Delhi Escorts so one can love you inside. Each time you acknowledge, for instance, you require something extra, you can visit our Escorts, and we can pass on the momentum of more young ladies you have ever been with. With most of our bodies and the wittiest of the characters, our Delhi Escorts will keep you off the bind persistently.

Damini Roy said...

You like a combination of beautiful women who are both intelligent and sophisticated. Delhi has a lot of options when it comes to Delhi Call Girls Service. There are girls working for an agency and some girls who work independently. Most of them have their own web pages so contacting them is not a problem. Just schedule an appointment and wait for an exciting time. Call Now 9871368411
Delhi Call Girls
Delhi Escorts
Aerocity Escorts
Mahipalpur Escorts
Janakpuri Call Girls
Call Girls In Peeragarhi

Lajpat Nagar Escorts said...

Most guys want to date the hot and sexy women in their life. But not everyone is lucky enough to have such a woman in their life that every dream can come true. To hear your complaints, our Karol Bagh Escorts are ready to assist you. In our Karol Bagh Escorts, you get best friends with experience compared to other Karol Bagh agents. You will feel immeasurable joy and joy that cannot be described with our service to Karol Bagh companion. No matter what kind of searches you have of Our Call Girl in Karol Bagh, you can get them easily.

saloni rani said...

Our Aerocity Escorts know it's imperative and is an obligation to provide excellent company in the bed. May that by long night conversations under the bedsheet, a dinner table, each other's life stories to make each other comfortable, sometimes leading to a scintillating experience, a shower together, a night walk etc. Some of our Aerocity Escorts are even housewives, and they know very well how to treat the man right. Some of the Aerocity Escorts are even college girls who can entertain you with some smooth dance moves and have various ways to keep the client entertained for the night.

Ishika Sharma said...

The Hub of high profile people where most of the businessman visit for the sole purpose. And that's the time to have some fun with unknown beauty. They can help you to relive the moment you have ever craved for. Aerocity is near the airport where the 5 star & 7-star hotels available to stay. And our agency of escorts in Delhi has tied up with few hotels to provide you private & safe moments with sensual girls.